The 38 states of America - part 3
Link to the Map: The 38 states of AmericaWelcome Ladies and Gentlemen of Daily Kos Elections! For those of you that don't know me, my name is StephenCLE, and I've been a regular contributor on Swing...
View ArticleThe 38 states of America - part 3
Welcome Ladies and Gentlemen of Daily Kos Elections! For those of you that don't know me, my name is StephenCLE, and I've been a regular contributor on Swing State Project for the better part of 2...
View Article2012 Senate Early Handicapping
This month marked the quarter pole of the 2011-2012 electoral cycle, and with it we are seeing things start to move at a rapid pace, most notably in that the newly elected republicans in the House and...
View ArticleThe 38 states of America - Part 4
Welcome, members of Daily Kos Elections to StephenCLE's page, and my ongoing series on the "38 states of America". This series is an electoral politics based look at what the country would be like if...
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Ohio Redistricting - What Kaptur heard
There's been quite a bit of fuss over some redistricting related news that came out of the buckeye state yesterday. Sources with the Plain Dealer and from the offices of democratic rep Marcy Kaptur of...
View ArticleThe StephenCLE Celebrity Senate - The 2010 Elections - Part 1
The Celebrity Senate version 2.0 – The 2010 Elections - Part 1Back in 2009, I created a diary on Swing State Project that outlined the US Senate if all the members were replaced and celebrities and...
View ArticleThe StephenCLE Celebrity Senate - 2010 Election Night Part 2
Here is the 2nd half of 2010 Election Night for the Celebrity Senate. This part of the diary picks up at roughly 9pm Eastern.The Celebrity Senate 2010 Elections, Part 19PM Eastern –New York – This...
View ArticleStephenCLE's 2012 Senate Rankings - Baseline
Senate 2012 Baseline Ratings:So here we are, about eight and a half months before the 2012 elections. We’ve got a political eternity ahead of us, but it’s a great time to establish baseline ratings...
View ArticleStephenCLE's 2012 Presidential Ratings - Baseline
2012 Baseline Presidential Ratings2 weeks ago I came out with my preliminary Senate rankings, and this time I take my first look at the 2012 Presidential Election. These ratings are mostly based off...
View ArticleApril Fool's Fantasy - Redistricting Hyrule
First of all, Happy April Fool’s Day everybody. In accordance with the date, which happens to align with a down period in the election cycle news coverage, I’ve got an April Fool’s diary for you all...
View ArticleStephenCLE's 2012 House Baseline Ratings - Part 1
Welcome everybody to StephenCLE’s 2012 House Rankings. This is my 2nd election cycle of forecasting all 435 of the house of representatives elections. 2010 was a mixed year for me, being the first...
View ArticleStephenCLE's House Baseline - Part 2/The Mid-Atlantic
Welcome to Part 2 of StephenCLE's baseline House Predictions! Last week, we examined the Northeast Region, where right now I have the Democrats picking up a net of 2 seats...picking up NH-1, NH-2, and...
View ArticleJuly Presidential & Senate Ratings
July Presidential and Senatorial RatingsWelcome to StephenCLE’s Presidential and Senate Rankings. This is my July update for how I see the presidential race as well as the race for the Senate shaping...
View ArticleStephenCLE's House Ratings - Part 3
Part 3 – Upper South Region (WV, KY, VA, TN, NC)So far in our trip around the United States, the Democrats are +3 overall in swing from the 2010 elections. Democratic Pickups – (NH-1, NH-2, NY-24,...
View ArticleStephenCLE's House Ratings - Part 4
Hello everybody and welcome once again to StephenCLE's House Ratings. This 4th section of the House Baseline ratings will take us to the South Atlantic region, a region consisting of South Carolina,...
View ArticleAugust 3 Presidential/Senate Rankings
Hello everybody. Welcome once again to StephenCLE's Ratings. In this episode, we take another look at the Presidential race, as well as the race for control of the US Senate. In our last update on...
View ArticleStephenCLE's House Ratings - Part 5
Part 5 – The Eastern Great LakesWe’ve now reached our fifth region in our trip around the United States. This region houses the states of Ohio, Michigan, and Indiana. This region was one of the...
View ArticleStephenCLE's House Ratings - Part 6
Hello DKE'ers, and welcome again to StephenCLE's House Ratings. Today, we continue our trip across the United States. Our destination today is the Gulf Coast region.Region 6 – The Gulf CoastMuch like...
View ArticleStephenCLE's House Ratings - Part 7
Hello again DKE'ers. We continue to rip through the baseline rankings for the House of Representatives, and after Friday's lazy trip through the Gulf Coast Region, today we're back for the 7th region...
View ArticleStephenCLE's House Ratings - Parts 8 & 9
Hi DK Election Nation. If it's me, you know we're about to travel through another region in my House baseline ratings. But today isn't any ordinary diary, for today I have a super amazing double...
View ArticleStephenCLE's House Baseline - FINAL
Welcome to my final diary on the House baseline. This diary will take us through the final US region, the Pacific Coast, as well as provide a final compilation of where we stand on August 21, 11 weeks...
View ArticleStephenCLE's Election Ratings - August 27
Good day again, fellow DKE'ers. As promised, this is the first of my series of weekly updates on the state of the election race. Each week between now and election day, we'll go through all the...
View ArticleStephenCLE's Election Ratings - Sept 4
September 4th Race Ratings Update –President:Last week was the republican national convention. Normally you’d expect the republican candidate to get somewhat of a bounce in support after this event,...
View ArticleStephenCLE's Election Ratings - Sept 10
September 10th Ratings Update –Presidential – We’re currently in the aftermath of the Democratic National Convention, and if the current slew of national polling is to be believed, then Barack Obama is...
View ArticleStephenCLE's Election Ratings - Sept 17
September 17th Ratings Update –Presidential –This has been an awful week for Mitt Romney. Horrible. The polling, both national and state is trending in Barack Obama’s direction almost across the...
View ArticleStephenCLE's Election Ratings - Sept 24
September 24th Ratings Update –Presidential –This race is starting to get ugly. Barack Obama’s lead is now the biggest it’s been all campaign long. It’s starting to resemble the advantage he had...
View ArticleStephenCLE's Election Ratings - October 1
October 1st Ratings Update –Presidential –At this time last week, we saw Barack Obama continuing to build momentum in the polls, and this trend continued through about midweek, when he reached a 5.67%...
View ArticleStephenCLE's Election Ratings - Oct 8
October 8th Ratings Update –Hello good DKE nation. Welcome to my latest and greatest election predictions. Before we start tonight, a general housekeeping note. Last week I was approached with an...
View ArticleStephenCLE's Election Ratings - Oct 16
October 16th Ratings Update – Three Weeks to Go!Welcome all to this week's edition of StephenCLE's Election Ratings. First up, I want to thank all of you who congratulated me on finishing the Toronto...
View ArticleStephenCLE's Election Ratings - Oct 22
October 22nd Ratings Update – Two Weeks to Go!Presidential:For the last two weeks, we’ve seen major movement toward Mitt Romney in the presidential contest. Ahead of this week’s update, we started to...
View ArticleStephenCLE's Election Ratings - Oct 30
October 29th Ratings Update – One Week Left!Before I start this week’s update, let me lend my strength and prayer to those affected by Hurricane Sandy. Even though I’m from Ohio, this storm had a...
View ArticleStephenCLE's 2012 Final Predictions + Ohio Baseline
November 5th – 2012 Elections Final Prediction!Presidential:So here we are. Finally, after an exhausting season of polls, debates, endless ads, and ruthless politicking on both sides, we have reached...
View ArticleStephenCLE's 2014 Senate Baseline
It's that time of the year again. With spring in the air (finally for those of us up north!!) and primary election season right around the corner its time for me to make my initial ratings of all...
View ArticleStephenCLE's Baseline House Rankings - The Northeast
Hello everybody, and welcome to StephenCLE's House Baseline Rankings, Part 1.Rating the House of Representatives is, in a nutshell, the main reason for my being on this site as an active member. I...
View ArticleStephenCLE's Baseline House Rankings - The Coastal Southeast
Welcome DKE'ers to StephenCLE's Baseline House Rankings. Last time, we went through the Northeast Region of the country, a democratic bastion that saw Team Blue tabbed to pick up a net of 2 seats in...
View ArticleStephenCLE's Baseline House Rankings - The Great Lakes
Hello DKE'ers, and welcome once again to StephenCLE's House Rankings. It's been a long time since our last installment, about two months, but the time has come to get back to business. In this diary,...
View ArticleStephenCLE's Baseline House Rankings - The Interior Southeast
Hi DKE nation. Today we get to look over another big batch of House races. Fun. This 4th diary in my House Baseline rankings covers a region stretching from West Virginia to Texas. I call it the...
View ArticleStephenCLE's Baseline House Ratings - Central Plains & Rocky Mountains
Hello DKE nation, and welcome to this penultimate edition of StephenCLE’s baseline House Rankings. So far we’ve gone through the Northeast, Mid-Atlantic, Coastal Southeast, Great Lakes, and Interior...
View ArticleStephenCLE's Baseline House Rankings - The Pacific Coast
Hello DKE nation, and welcome to this final edition of StephenCLE’s baseline House Rankings. So far we’ve gone through the Northeast, Mid-Atlantic, Coastal Southeast, Great Lakes, Interior Southeast,...
View ArticleStephenCLE's Election Ratings - 10/20
Good morning Daily Kos nation. We're two weeks away from Election Day now, and it's time to get an updated look at where I see things. Before we begin, a shameless plug...for most of you on here...
View ArticleStephenCLE's 2014 Final Predictions
2014 Elections Final Predictions:Well here we are…the final night of the 2014 election cycle. It’s been a heck of a ride, and now after all the analysis, all the prognostication, all the bad punditry,...
View ArticleStephenCLE's 2016 Final Predictions
Ladies and gentlemen, it is the day before Election Day 2016. And it is just as well that I perform a bi-annual tradition...making my predictions for what will happen as the results roll in tomorrow...
View ArticleStephenCLE's Election Ratings - June 2020
StephenCLE’s election ratings – June 9, 2020Hello everybody and welcome to StephenCLE’s election ratings. With today being 21 weeks prior to election day, I figure now is as good a time as any to...
View ArticleStephenCLE's Election Ratings - June 30, 2020
StephenCLE’s election ratings – June 30, 2020Hello everybody and welcome to StephenCLE’s election ratings. 18 weeks remain prior to election day, and things could not be more positive for democrats up...
View ArticleStephenCLE's 2020 Election Final Predictions
Hello Daily Kos Community. It’s Election Eve, and as I do every 2 years, I am here to issue my final predictions for the madness that is about to ensue tomorrow evening. Much like Larry Sabato and a...
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